Historical Cycles and Patterns

The Past Doesn’t Tell Easy Stories About the West
https://foreignpolicy.com/2021/06/20/history-cliodynamics-weird-turchin/

THE NEXT DECADE COULD BE EVEN WORSE: A historian believes he has discovered iron laws that predict the rise and fall of societies. He has bad news. 
https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2020/12/can-history-predict-future/616993/