Monday, September 21, 2026

India's Southern Tech Capitals

Bloomberg Wall Street Week Reports:
Bangalore: Can India’s IT Capital Survive Its Own Success?
https://youtu.be/dEe4A3O9OmI 
Why India’s Big Tech Companies Are Betting on Hyderabad
https://youtu.be/zDLi0cQKxEU 

American Millionaires

The Wealthiest—and Stealthiest—Class in America
https://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2026/09/21/the-everywhere-millionaire-owen-zidar-and-eric-zwick-book-review
America’s everywhere millionaires built fortunes from hot dogs, car dealerships, medical practices, and convenience stores. Then they learned how to protect them.
 
The Everywhere Millionaire: Who Is Really Rich in America and How They Got There
https://www.everywheremillionaire.com 

Legal Rights for AI Agents?

Does Claude Have Rights?
https://www.project-syndicate.org/onpoint/anthropic-training-claude-to-believe-it-may-have-rights-by-mustafa-suleyman-2026-09
Given the many differences between brains and LLMs, claiming that an AI is or might be conscious requires a high bar of evidence. But Anthropic’s constitution for Claude brushes that caveat aside, suggesting that we attribute sentience to non-biological beings. 

Can US Economy Survive Higher Rates?

See the 10-Year Treasury Yield’s Wild Ride on the Road to 5%
https://www.wsj.com/finance/investing/see-the-10-year-treasury-yields-wild-ride-on-the-road-to-5-22e4bbc2
A pandemic, wars and government deficits have reshaped the bond market since the start of the decade.
 
The Silver Lining in Soaring Interest Rates: The Economy Can Handle Them
https://www.wsj.com/economy/central-banking/the-silver-lining-in-soaring-interest-rates-the-economy-can-handle-them-842e29ff
Economies around the world are showing surprising resilience to higher central bank-interest rates and government bond yields. 

Nostalgia and Lost Pride

The Fuel Europe’s Far Right Feeds On: Nostalgia and Lost Pride
https://www.nytimes.com/2026/09/21/world/europe/germany-afd-far-right.html
The populist emphasis on national identity, rather than on the sins of the past, finds a deep response in voters adrift in a world they no longer understand. 

Wednesday, September 16, 2026

Subtle Effects of AI in the Workplace

The Quiet Way A.I. Is Hitting the Work Force
https://www.nytimes.com/2026/09/16/business/ai-raises-hiring.html
Lower wage growth and slower hiring in some sectors may be the result of artificial intelligence, especially for younger workers. 

As Expected, Fed Hikes Rates

FOMC STATEMENT:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/pressreleases/monetary20260916a.htm
The Federal Open Market Committee approved the following statement for release by a 12 – 0 vote:
The Committee decided to raise the target range for the federal funds rate by 1/4 percentage point to 3-3/4 to 4 percent, in support of the Federal Reserve's dual mandate. The Committee is continuing its policy of maintaining ample reserves in the banking system.
Economic activity is expanding at a solid pace. While uncertainty remains elevated owing, in part, to geopolitical developments, domestic spending has been resilient. Productivity growth is strong, and capital investment is robust. Job gains have kept pace with the workforce, and the unemployment rate has changed little.
Inflation remains elevated. Today's policy action will support a timelier return to the Committee's 2 percent goal. The Committee will deliver price stability. 

Setting Prices in the Real World

American Businesses Have No Idea How to Set Prices Right Now
https://www.wsj.com/business/american-businesses-have-no-idea-how-to-set-prices-right-now-061274e0
Businesses of all stripes are struggling to predict how long high energy costs will last. 

US - A Contributor to Economic Instability

The World Economy Is Becoming Wary of the U.S.
https://www.nytimes.com/2026/09/16/business/trump-debt-sanctions-global-economy.html
America’s position of global economic stability is starting to look shakier as the Trump administration piles on debt and doubles down on sanctions.
 
E.U. Offers to Make Canada ‘Associate Member’ as U.S. Ties Weaken for Both
https://www.nytimes.com/2026/09/16/world/europe/eu-canada-associate-member.html
Canada and the European Union have been confronting an increasingly challenging relationship with the United States under President Trump. 

Declining Education Standards - Role of Policymakers

New York Dumbs Down Its Graduates
https://www.wsj.com/opinion/new-york-regents-exams-high-school-graduates-255bf7f9
The Board of Regents nixes its requirement to pass a graduation exam. 

Tuesday, September 15, 2026

Cognitive Offloading

An M.I.T. Report Warns A.I. Is Causing ‘Cognitive Surrender.’ Universities Are in a Bind.
https://www.nytimes.com/2026/09/15/us/universities-ai-warnings-enthusiasm.html
As A.I. upends education, university leaders have been all over the map about how to respond. It can be very confusing for students. 

Europe's Immigration Concerns

There’s a Reason Europe Is So Obsessed with Immigration
https://www.nytimes.com/2026/09/15/opinion/europe-immigration-ceuta-far-right.html Immigration has become a prism through which all the continent’s ills are viewed. 

Mortgage Rates and the Stagnant Housing Market

The Stagnant Housing Market Is About to Face a 7% Mortgage
https://www.wsj.com/economy/housing/the-stagnant-housing-market-is-about-to-face-a-7-mortgage-55a041d6
The housing market is approaching the highest mortgage rate since January 2025, likely spooking home buyers and home builders even more.  

Monday, September 14, 2026

Benchmark 10-Year Treasury Yield

What Comes Next, Now that the 10-Year Treasury Yield Has Crossed 5%?
https://www.wsj.com/finance/investing/what-comes-next-now-that-the-10-year-treasury-yield-has-crossed-5-c3bd8b05
The key borrowing benchmark is either bumping along a post-financial crisis high, or stepping into a new era of higher rates.


10-Year Treasury Yield Touches 5%, Highest Level in Years
https://www.nytimes.com/2026/09/14/business/10-year-treasury-yield-5-percent.html
One of the world’s most important interest rates hit a level recorded only once since the global financial crisis, as investors continued to rebuff the Trump administration’s efforts to sway the bond market.
 
A 5% Treasury Yield Raises New Risks for Markets, Economy
https://www.fa-mag.com/news/a-5--treasury-yield-raises-new-risks-for-markets--economy-88451.html
 
Stocks are in a late-stage bubble and poised to crash 21% next year, while Treasury yields above 5% will signal a new era of tight money, analysts say
https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/stocks/articles/stocks-stage-bubble-poised-crash-220620239.html
 
A Guide to Owning Bonds When They Are Selling Off
https://www.wsj.com/finance/investing/a-guide-to-owning-bonds-when-they-are-selling-off-be8e0a2b 

US Foreign Policy and Political Corruption

Jared Kushner’s Dollar Diplomacy
https://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2026/09/21/jared-kushners-dollar-diplomacy
Donald Trump’s son-in-law represents the kind of Washington figure for whom public office serves as a means to extraordinary wealth. 

MAGA Is Making the World Safe for Corruption
https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/2026/10/maga-foreign-policy/688352/
Far-right ideologues have transformed American foreign policy into a tool of private gain and antidemocratic reaction.

AI Safety Concerns

The Liftoff Scenario That Terrifies A.I. Doomsayers
https://www.nytimes.com/2026/09/16/science/ai-recursive-self-improvement.html
“Recursive self-improvement” is the idea that artificial intelligence could learn to build and train itself, creating exponential new progress — and risk.


Can A.I. “Go Rogue”?
https://www.newyorker.com/culture/open-questions/can-ai-go-rogue
In the wake of turmoil at OpenAI and Anthropic, it’s become common to describe A.I. as a kind of person, hatching plans and pursuing desires. The truth is a little trickier.


How the Clash Between Money and Safety Created a Monumental Crisis for AI
https://www.wsj.com/tech/ai/openai-anthropic-crisis-money-safety-847bc1d6
OpenAI and Anthropic, in heated competition with each other and China, are racing toward IPOs, even as they admit they could lose control of their bots.
 
We Need a Science of the AI Mind
https://www.wsj.com/opinion/we-need-a-science-of-the-ai-mind-5b1047e4
No, we aren’t doomed, but the models are advancing more quickly than our understanding of them. 

Singapore's Model for Limiting Political Corruption

Benchmarking and bonuses: why Singapore pays its politicians like bankers
https://www.ft.com/content/fa47c0db-18a6-45d6-b35d-75942a0daae8
The city-state has some of the best-paid ministers in the world. 

Friday, September 11, 2026

Populism and American Politics

Populist Republicans and Democratic Socialists Are Starting to Merge
https://www.wsj.com/politics/populist-republicans-and-democratic-socialists-are-starting-to-merge-d6f5917e
Call it the “Horseshoe party.” The extremes in both parties are starting to sound alike in their disdain for capitalism and centrism. 

Inflation and Price Levels

What Years of Inflation Have Done to American Prices
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2026/09/11/business/economy/inflation-us-prices-gas-food-tariffs.html
Nearly every category of product costs more than it would have had prepandemic trends continued. And many product prices are still rising faster than they were before. 

Sticky Wage Norms and the Real Wage Cost of Unexpected Inflation
https://www.nber.org/papers/w35624
We use a sample of administrative payroll data covering a large and nationally representative share of U.S. workers to study how wages adjusted during the recent inflation period. Most firms apply a single modal annual nominal wage increase to the majority of their workers, and these firm-level norms changed little during the recent period of unexpected inflation. As a result, nominal wages did not keep pace with prices for a large share of workers who stayed at their firms. Forty-three percent of workers continuously employed at the same firm over the four years spanning 2021–2024 experienced a real wage decline, with a mean loss of roughly nine percent among those who fell behind. Workers could escape sticky wage norms by changing employers — job-changers’ wages rose nearly one-for-one with inflation — but switching was too infrequent to matter for most. Even accounting for job-changers, 37 percent of all workers saw real wages decline over the 4-year period. Indexing firms’ modal raises one-for-one to inflation would have closed roughly 40 percent of the resulting shortfall relative to prepandemic trend. Drawing on cross-country evidence from Belgium, whose wages are automatically indexed to inflation, we show that incomplete wage indexation, rather than inflation itself, helps explain the persistence of depressed consumer sentiment during the 2021–2024 period.

Six Charts That Explain How Americans Really Feel About the Economy
https://www.wsj.com/economy/consumers/six-charts-that-explain-how-americans-really-feel-about-the-economy-2243d7da
Official data shows steady growth and low unemployment, but misses how rising costs have left many Americans behind. 

How Energy Is Driving Inflation—and How It’s Not
https://www.wsj.com/economy/how-energy-is-driving-inflationand-how-its-not-50560f6e
As diesel crosses $6, the risk is building that soaring energy costs will start to hurt far beyond gas pumps.

Labor Force Participation Rates in Europe

On Europe’s economy, let’s ditch the lazy stereotypes
https://www.ft.com/content/362b3139-b0de-42f1-83db-67d4572a66ce
Despite careful, consistent labor market reforms, the continent has not lived down to its image as work-shy. 

Thursday, September 10, 2026

Anthropology, Philosophy, and Math - Majors for the AI Era

Want to Succeed in an AI World? Study Anthropology
https://www.wsj.com/lifestyle/careers/want-to-succeed-in-an-ai-world-study-anthropology-cbb2d368
College students and workers alike are finding a new set of skills is needed for a rapidly changing workplace. 

The Revenge of the Philosophy Majors
https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/05/business/philosophy-majors-ai-jobs.html
A.I. labs are hiring contrarian, chin-stroking, finger-steepling sages. Who’s underemployed now? 

PISA Test Scores Highlight an Alarming Trend

Plunging test scores are a slow-moving catastrophe
https://www.economist.com/leaders/2026/09/10/plunging-test-scores-are-a-slow-moving-catastrophe
Machines are getting brighter. Teens are getting dimmer. Schools must act now.
 
Are teenagers growing dimmer?
https://www.economist.com/international/2026/09/08/are-teenagers-growing-dimmer
The latest global school tests reveal shocking new declines. 

U.S. Reading Scores Plummet on Global Exam
https://www.nytimes.com/2026/09/08/us/us-reading-test-scores-pisa.html
Students in Singapore and parts of China had the highest scores on the test known as PISA. Scores for American students were near a 25-year low.

How to teach the next generation in the era of AI
https://www.ft.com/content/bb42e8fa-aa7e-4410-9f7b-42cd6115d8fb
The Pisa results sound the alarm on the disastrous impact of tech on our basic skills.

Backlash Against Big Tech

Big Tech Fooled America Once. The Second Time’s Not Going So Well.
https://www.nytimes.com/2026/09/10/opinion/ai-big-tech-america-politics.html

Surging Bond Yields

The Unrelenting Bond Selloff Puts the 10-Year Yield on the Cusp of 5%
https://www.wsj.com/finance/investing/the-unrelenting-bond-selloff-puts-the-10-year-yield-on-the-cusp-of-5-78bfb4db
Rising borrowing costs threaten to disrupt the stock market and slow the economy. 

Why Higher Bond Yields Can Be ‘a Great Thing’
https://www.morningstar.com/bonds/why-higher-bond-yields-can-be-great-thing
The bond market selloff has rattled Wall Street, but falling bond prices mean more income for investors and a cushion against price declines.

The AI Millionaires

More Money Than They Ever Imagined—and No Clue How to Spend It
https://www.wsj.com/tech/ai/ai-tech-anthropic-openai-ipo-0a9da59e 

Treasury versus the Bond Market

Wednesday, September 9, 2026

The Decline in the Labor Share of Income


The Record Divide Between Corporate Profits and Worker Pay
https://www.wsj.com/finance/stocks/the-record-divide-between-corporate-profits-and-worker-pay-ea4c75bc
Labor’s share of economic output just hit an all-time low, while the profit share neared a record. It helps explain why consumers feel so glum. 

The Big Money in Today’s Economy Is Going to Capital, Not Labor 
Soaring profits and stocks funnel more of GDP toward companies, their top employees and shareholders. AI will intensify this trend.


‘We deserve more’: US workers’ share of the pie dwindles
 
“Perspectives on the Labor Share,” by Loukas Karabarbounis
As of 2022, the share of US income accruing to labor is at its lowest level since the Great Depression. Updating previous studies with more recent observations, I document the continuing decline of the labor share for the United States, other countries, and various industries. I discuss how changes in technology and product, labor, and capital markets affect the trend of the labor share. I also examine its relationship with other macroeconomic trends, such as rising markups, higher concentration of economic activity, and globalization. I conclude by offering some perspectives on the economic and policy implications of the labor share decline.

BRICS at 20

The BRICS at 20
https://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/20-years-of-brics-has-reshaped-international-affairs-by-brahma-chellaney-2026-09
If the promise of the BRICS was to establish a monetary union, a single market, or a tightly integrated political alliance, it has not been fulfilled. But if it was to build a platform for emerging economies to cooperate while advancing their own strategic autonomy, the BRICS has exceeded expectations.

In a Club of Emerging Powers, China and India Vie for Influence
https://www.nytimes.com/2026/09/11/world/asia/china-india-brics-summit.html
China sees the BRICS group as a vehicle for challenging American power. India wants to keep the group broad enough to avoid choosing sides.

 
World’s biggest relationship? Xi and Modi look to rebuild ties for 2.8bn people
https://www.ft.com/content/6525cf15-0cf0-4fff-a3a4-298a41569d97
Brics summit expected to bring China’s leader to India for first time in seven years after cautious diplomacy to put bilateral relations back on track. 

Monday, September 7, 2026

Deciphering the Stock Market

Institutional Investors Move Markets. Here’s How to Read Their Signs.
https://www.wsj.com/finance/stocks/investors-move-markets-read-signs-b0f2cc95
Tracking a stock’s price range and volume can offer clues on when to buy a stock that’s about to climb or bail on a stock that’s primed to fall. 

The Stock Market’s Breezy Summer Is Over. Investors Beware.
https://www.wsj.com/finance/stocks/the-stock-markets-breezy-summer-is-over-investors-beware-fb110133
The Fed and inflation are back in focus as investors face down an often bumpy stretch for markets.
 
Why Stocks Are Defying Gravity and What Could Bring Them Down
https://www.nytimes.com/2026/09/08/business/stock-market-interest-rates.html
Investors are focused on strong corporate earnings and A.I., while looking past the war in Iran. But rising interest rates are an increasing risk to the rally.

US Foreign Policy Blunders

Peru Shows the Limits of Washington’s Anti-China Push
https://www.nytimes.com/2026/09/07/world/americas/peru-trump-china-economy.html
 
Trump’s Neocolonialism Will Backfire
https://www.newyorker.com/news/global-notes/trumps-neocolonialism-will-backfire  
The President is touting his big Venezuelan oil deal, but his interventions abroad are stirring anger and having unintended consequences. 

China and Medical Research

Patients Are Flying to China for the Latest Cancer Treatment
https://www.wsj.com/health/healthcare/patients-are-flying-to-china-for-the-latest-cancer-treatment-528659c3
Shanghai is emerging as a favored destination for patients from America and other rich countries who are seeking innovations in biotechnology. 

Rethinking the Value of a College Degree

Americans Without College Degrees Have One of the Best Job Markets in Years
https://www.wsj.com/lifestyle/careers/americans-without-college-degrees-are-having-one-of-the-best-job-markets-in-years-5f37d00e
Unemployment among younger workers who didn’t go to college has rarely been lower in recent decades. It is the opposite story for college graduates.
 
The university degree is losing its luster
https://www.ft.com/content/54cf40cd-149f-40db-b603-21aecd5f66ec
 
China’s New Graduates, Facing a Dire Job Market, Must Also Contend with A.I.
https://www.nytimes.com/2026/09/06/world/asia/chinas-new-graduates-ai-challenges.html
A record 12.7 million young people are looking for jobs as the country embraces artificial intelligence — and as the technology begins to upend the work force.  

My take from Jan 2022:
Is the US higher education bubble about to burst?
https://thehill.com/opinion/education/590971-will-the-us-higher-education-bubble-finally-burst

Related:

The College Wage Premium in the Generative AI Era

https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=7364838

Abstract

After expanding for four decades, the U.S. college wage premium is experiencing a sustained contraction, dropping sharply from 0.626 in 2022 to 0.575 in 2026. Using Current Population Survey Outgoing Rotation Group data through 2026, we show that standard market-clearing supply and demand accounting implies an unprecedented drop in relative demand for college labor-the first sustained negative relative demand growth in a series spanning back to 1914. Linking individual wage data to task-based generative AI exposure, we document that post-2022 wage growth slowed disproportionately in high-exposure occupations, which employ a disproportionate share of college graduates. By 2026, going from zero occupational AI exposure to full exposure had a negative effect on wages of -0.086. Combined with the college-non-college exposure gap, this mechanism accounts for roughly 28 percent of the total drop in the college wage premium from 2022 to 2026. While noncausal, these patterns indicate that task displacement in AI-exposed white-collar occupations plays a quantitatively meaningful role in the recent compression of the aggregate skill premium.

Sunday, September 6, 2026

The Ultimate Safe Asset

Why are European countries moving their gold out of North America?
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cvgyn8q8gqxo 

AI Agents and Retail Investing

He’s Letting AI Agents Invest His Money. They Even Have Names.
https://www.wsj.com/tech/ai/the-ai-shift-turning-everyday-investors-into-mini-quant-funds-ebe4d45f
Americans are vibe-coding trading algorithms and handing over their stock portfolios to AI agents. Welcome to the world of the robot retail investor. 

Saturday, September 5, 2026

Oil Prices and the 'Crack Spread'

The ‘Crack Spread’ Is Going to Make Your Life Unpleasant
https://www.nytimes.com/2026/08/19/opinion/gas-prices-crude-oil-diesel.html
Focusing on the price of crude is misleading, a bit like following the price of wheat when it’s bread that you’re actually buying. The gauge to watch is what’s called the crack spread — the difference between the cost of a barrel of crude and the prices of the refined products made from it. If you want to drill down, it’s often referred to as the 3-2-1 spread, which calculates prices when three barrels of crude are refined into two barrels of gasoline and one barrel of diesel, a typical ratio. (Cracking is the process of breaking large hydrocarbon molecules into smaller ones, which is what a refinery does.) 

Friday, September 4, 2026

Florida's Housing Market

August Jobs Report


The US economy added 162,000 jobs in August, more than double expectations
https://www.cnn.com/2026/09/04/economy/us-jobs-report-august
 
August's blowout jobs report was good news for blue-collar workers, while white-collar professionals fell behind
https://www.businessinsider.com/job-growth-losses-august-industries-labor-market-2026-9

The biggest August jobs beat in nearly 30 years may be less impressive than it looks

 

American Workers Have Slammed the Brakes on Switching Jobs

The country is adding about 80,000 jobs a month, an improvement from last year, but workers are still wary of job hopping.


Related:

Climate Change - Past the Tipping Point?

The world may have less time than it thinks on climate change
https://www.economist.com/by-invitation/2026/08/30/the-world-may-have-less-time-than-it-thinks-on-climate-change
If it is affecting circulation patterns that determine how and where anticyclones form, it could accelerate alarmingly, warns Tim Palmer. 

Norwegian SWF to Sell Treasuries

Norway’s Massive Oil Fund Proposes Selling Roughly $80 Billion in U.S. Treasurys
https://www.wsj.com/finance/investing/norways-oil-fund-proposes-cut-to-government-bond-holdings-d930893f
The manager of the $2.4 trillion sovereign-wealth fund recommended adding riskier debt in a bid to seek greater returns. 

Thursday, September 3, 2026

Wednesday, September 2, 2026

Pricing New Cancer Drugs

A $480,000-a-Year Pill Reflects a New Normal for Cancer Drugs
https://www.nytimes.com/2026/08/31/business/pancreatic-cancer-drug-prices.html
Rasonque, the new pancreatic cancer treatment from Revolution Medicines, illustrates the huge inflation in cancer drug prices over the past two decades. 

Misguided Trade Policies Hurt Americans

Wondering How Nuts Trump’s Tariffs Are? Consider Aluminum.
https://www.nytimes.com/2026/09/02/opinion/trump-aluminum-tariffs-canada.html 

The Metals Lobby’s Big Steal
https://www.wsj.com/opinion/u-s-canada-steel-aluminum-tariffs-8f7cabf1
Americans now pay 75% more for aluminum than the rest of the world, and 64% more for steel.

The A.I. Job Apocalypse Debate

The jobs apocalypse is postponed. An AI jobs boom is here
https://www.economist.com/finance-and-economics/2026/09/04/the-jobs-apocalypse-is-postponed-an-ai-jobs-boom-is-here
Initial effects of the technology on employment look positive.


Has the A.I. Job Apocalypse Been Postponed?
https://www.newyorker.com/news/the-financial-page/has-the-ai-job-apocalypse-been-postponed
So far, the proliferation of products such as Claude and ChatGPT hasn’t led to mass displacement of workers. But deployment is accelerating and economic pressures are rising.


Canaries in the Coal Mine? Six Facts about the Recent Employment Effects of Artificial Intelligence
https://digitaleconomy.stanford.edu/publication/canaries-in-the-coal-mine-six-facts-about-the-recent-employment-effects-of-artificial-intelligence/


AI hits college graduates in the heart of America’s data center boom
https://www.ft.com/content/9334212a-3cc4-426c-9cbe-57cb48033603
Research shows job postings in Texas have dropped for AI-exposed occupations.
 
Job postings show early signs of AI automation impact
https://www.dallasfed.org/research/economics/2026/0901 

Related:

The College Wage Premium in the Generative AI Era

https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=7364838

Abstract

After expanding for four decades, the U.S. college wage premium is experiencing a sustained contraction, dropping sharply from 0.626 in 2022 to 0.575 in 2026. Using Current Population Survey Outgoing Rotation Group data through 2026, we show that standard market-clearing supply and demand accounting implies an unprecedented drop in relative demand for college labor-the first sustained negative relative demand growth in a series spanning back to 1914. Linking individual wage data to task-based generative AI exposure, we document that post-2022 wage growth slowed disproportionately in high-exposure occupations, which employ a disproportionate share of college graduates. By 2026, going from zero occupational AI exposure to full exposure had a negative effect on wages of -0.086. Combined with the college-non-college exposure gap, this mechanism accounts for roughly 28 percent of the total drop in the college wage premium from 2022 to 2026. While noncausal, these patterns indicate that task displacement in AI-exposed white-collar occupations plays a quantitatively meaningful role in the recent compression of the aggregate skill premium.

Impact of Rising Bond Yields

What Does a Bond Selloff Mean for American Consumers?
https://www.wsj.com/economy/consumers/what-does-a-bond-selloff-mean-for-american-consumers-236e4be6
A jittery Treasury market and the prospect of Fed rate increases risk making life more expensive for already cost-pressured Americans.
 
What Rising Global Bond Rates Mean for Your Money 
https://www.nytimes.com/2026/09/02/business/bond-rates-retirement-401k.html 

This chart shows exactly why investors should worry about rising yields — even if they don’t own any bonds
https://www.marketwatch.com/story/this-chart-shows-exactly-why-investors-should-worry-about-rising-yields-even-if-they-dont-own-any-bonds-075b93c0

Tuesday, September 1, 2026

AI Raises Deep Philosophical Questions

‘If you build something vastly smarter than you, it better be on your side’: can we stop AI from deceiving us?
https://www.theguardian.com/news/2026/sep/01/if-you-build-something-vastly-smarter-than-you-it-better-be-on-your-side-can-we-stop-ai-from-deceiving-us
We are used to the idea that our fellow humans might intentionally mislead or manipulate us, but the idea that machines can now do the same is deeply unsettling. Researchers are racing to find solutions before it’s too late. 

The search for consciousness inside AI
https://www.economist.com/interactive/briefing/2026/08/20/the-search-for-consciousness-inside-llms
Scientists are trying to figure out whether algorithms could one day wake up and feel.

Global Bond Sell-Off

There Are Four Forces Pressuring Bonds: War Is No. 1
https://www.wsj.com/finance/investing/there-are-four-forces-pressuring-bonds-war-is-no-1-68d3ace9
Fiscal worries, a new Federal Reserve chairman and even the flood of AI bonds are helping drive the recent climb in yields.
 
The Bond Market Issues World Leaders a Failing Grade
https://www.wsj.com/economy/the-bond-market-issues-world-leaders-a-failing-grade-621cf4dc
Nothing in this week’s G-20 suggested an end to the deficits, inflation and geopolitical disruptions that are roiling investors.

America has a whopping debt. But Europe has the whopping debt problem
https://www.economist.com/europe/2026/09/03/america-has-a-whopping-debt-but-europe-has-the-whopping-debt-problem
The French-size problem at the heart of the EU.


Borrowing Isn’t the Bond Market’s Only Concern—Growth Is Too
https://www.wsj.com/finance/investing/borrowing-isnt-the-bond-markets-only-concerngrowth-is-too-91596036
Many governments look more prudent than the U.S. right now, but aging workforces and anemic growth mean debts look scary.


Global Bond Sell-Off Puts Investors on Edge
https://www.nytimes.com/2026/09/01/business/bond-yields-debt.html
Government borrowing costs are hitting multi-decade highs around the world, reflecting anxiety about debt levels, deficits and inflation.  

Bond Yields Around the World Soar in Challenge to Government Borrowing
https://www.wsj.com/finance/investing/bond-yields-around-the-world-soar-in-challenge-to-government-borrowing-c519c53f
The runup in interest rates has profound consequences for the global economy, heaping pressure on everyone from home buyers to governments.
 
How to understand the current puzzle in bonds and equities
https://www.ft.com/content/b189d31a-5e56-471e-91d1-c319aa68f174

A New World Order?

Climate Concerns and Economic Development

The Rich World’s Climate Distraction
https://www.wsj.com/opinion/the-rich-worlds-climate-distraction-fe33cf14
The World Bank and other institutions lose their focus on the best ways to help the poor. 

Clusters and Agglomeration Economies

The U.S. Economy Depends on Thriving Cluster Cities
https://www.fa-mag.com/news/the-us-economy-depends-on-thriving-cluster-cities-88288.html
 
The extraordinary rise of Miami’s economy
https://www.economist.com/finance-and-economics/2026/08/31/the-extraordinary-rise-of-miamis-economy
Thanks to a combination of capital and politics, the city is booming. Can its success be sustained?