Friday, March 13, 2026

Challenges Facing the Global Economy

Globalization Faces Its Next Crisis
https://www.nytimes.com/2026/03/13/business/economy/iran-war-global-supply-chain.html
Beyond its effects on oil and gas, the unfolding war in the Middle East is roiling shipping and airfreight, threatening the availability of a vast range of goods. 
 
Echoes of the ’70s in What’s Now the Largest Oil Shock Ever
https://www.nytimes.com/2026/03/13/world/middleeast/oil-supply-shock-1973-embargo.html
Governments have stockpiled oil, and cars are more efficient, but the supply shock is global, and there’s no sense of when it’ll end.  

Gen Z - Dreams of Early Retirement

Why some Gen Z workers are already planning for early retirement
https://www.reuters.com/markets/on-the-money/why-some-gen-z-workers-are-already-planning-early-retirement-2026-03-12/
This 26-year-old is part of a growing wave of young savers taking advantage of employer retirement plans and using index funds to build long-term wealth. 

Thursday, March 12, 2026

Safe-Haven Stocks?

Why Investors Aren’t Fleeing to Safe-Haven Stocks
https://www.wsj.com/finance/stocks/why-investors-arent-fleeing-to-safe-haven-stocks-194194b3
Healthcare and consumer staples are supposed to be defensive. This time, it hasn’t worked out. 

War Is Raging. Tankers Are Burning. Yet the Stock Market Isn’t Panicking—for Now.
https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/war-is-raging-tankers-are-burning-yet-the-stock-market-isnt-panickingfor-now-6c96af2b
Market confidence in a short war was misplaced. This isn’t a time to be confident about the outcome.

Wednesday, March 11, 2026

AI and the Labor Market

Are We Facing an AI Nightmare?
https://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/ai-job-loss-scenarios-and-likely-public-responses-by-raghuram-g-rajan-2026-03
AI-doom scenarios are going viral because there are no easy public-policy responses to the problem of large-scale but not universal technological unemployment. Society’s best hope is a Goldilocks scenario, where the AI rollout is not too fast, and where the industry is not too oligopolistic.
 
AI Isn’t Lightening Workloads. It’s Making Them More Intense.
https://www.wsj.com/tech/ai/ai-isnt-lightening-workloads-its-making-them-more-intense-e417dd2c
The technology is increasing the speed, density and complexity of work rather than reducing it, a new analysis of 164,000 people’s work activity shows. 

Tuesday, March 10, 2026

Smart Money versus Dumb Money

Smart Money, Dumb Money, It’s All Just Money
https://www.wsj.com/finance/investing/smart-money-dumb-money-its-all-just-money-706cd1e3
The biggest difference between individual and institutional investors: Institutions have a lot more money to make bad decisions with. 

High Fuel Prices - US Economic Impact

Elevated Energy Prices Add to Fed’s Dilemma on Interest Rates
https://www.nytimes.com/2026/03/10/business/fed-oil-iran-interest-rates.html
Investors now expect that the Fed will delay a rate cut until September instead of July, as they had before the war in Iran began. 
 
America Is an Oil Exporter. Why Does a Mideast War Raise U.S. Gas Prices?
https://www.nytimes.com/2026/03/10/business/gasoline-price-energy-costs.html
 
Rising Fuel Costs Pressure Airlines and Truckers
https://www.nytimes.com/2026/03/10/business/energy-environment/jet-fuel-diesel-airlines-truckers-iran.html
The price of jet fuel and diesel has surged since the war in Iran began, which could force airlines and trucking companies to pass on higher costs to their customers. 

China's Economic Exposure to Mideast Conflict

China Has Spent Years Preparing for the Iran Oil Crisis
https://www.wsj.com/world/china-has-spent-years-preparing-for-the-iran-oil-crisis-b0ff5577
Massive oil stockpiles and a shift to electric vehicles are helping to insulate the Chinese economy from supply disruptions in the Middle East.
 
For China, Billions of Dollars Are at Risk from a Widening War
https://www.nytimes.com/2026/03/09/business/china-trade-persian-gulf-iran.html