Showing posts with label Politics. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Politics. Show all posts

Tuesday, July 28, 2026

State of the Trump Economy

Trump economy at 18 months is a tale of shocks, resilience, and signs of stalled progress
https://www.reuters.com/world/us/trump-economy-18-months-is-tale-shocks-resilience-signs-stalled-progress-2026-07-27/
The economy has stalled in many of the areas where Trump said that mass deportations of undocumented people and higher import taxes would trigger a boom, with the U.S.-Israeli war against Iran intensifying some key risks. 

Monday, July 27, 2026

Do Consumer Sentiments Really Matter?

Why economic surveys have lost their relevance
https://www.ft.com/content/1c559e9c-83b8-486c-812f-cb431e6970ce
Distorted by partisan passion and rising inequality, they are a reflection of popular frustrations — not overall growth.


Do We Really Feel This Lousy About the Economy, or Is a Key Survey Broken?
https://www.wsj.com/economy/consumers/do-we-really-feel-this-lousy-about-the-economy-or-is-a-key-survey-broken-06c8c9ca
The University of Michigan is pushing back and defending its widely tracked consumer sentiment gauge. 

Sunday, July 26, 2026

Thursday, July 23, 2026

TDS

Trade Deficit Derangement Syndrome
https://www.wsj.com/opinion/trade-deficit-derangement-syndrome-fe3f37d6
Trump isn’t the first to suffer from it, and seeking ‘balance’ in 2026 is as foolish as it was in 1776. 

Trump’s Trade Wars Are Back—Despite the Supreme Court
https://www.wsj.com/politics/policy/trumps-trade-wars-are-backdespite-the-supreme-court-7a889f9a
The president’s proposed use of an obscure Depression-era law shows courts and Congress haven’t curbed Trump’s ambition to impose tariffs at will.


Trump Unveils New Tariffs Designed to Withstand Legal Scrutiny
https://www.wsj.com/economy/trade/trump-unveils-new-tariffs-designed-to-withstand-legal-scrutiny-21ef4093
The new duties, ranging from 10% to 12.5%, will replace a temporary tariff put in place after the Supreme Court derailed Trump’s trade agenda in February.

Tuesday, July 21, 2026

Brazil – Risks and Opportunities

Brazil faces unforgiving economics after election
https://www.ft.com/content/d47f9b39-9e78-4034-97a2-1ca8e07e27e8
For investors, that is a reason for engagement, not despair. Brazil trades at humbling valuations. It has some of the world’s highest real interest rates and the currency is at near record lows with the real down 70 per cent over the past 15 years despite an 8 per cent bounce over the past year. If it gets the sequence of economic management right — consolidation, disinflation, then building growth — the country is a compelling opportunity. 

Tuesday, July 14, 2026

The Worst Form of Trade Protectionism

The payments darling in Trump’s crosshairs
https://www.ft.com/content/efbec9a7-a3d9-45e6-8ade-c0660f31ecc7
US tariff threats against Brazil over payments platform Pix provoke a political storm ahead of elections. 

Saturday, July 11, 2026

Building Wealth - Equities versus Real Estate

Houses Are No Longer the Best Place for Your Money
https://www.fa-mag.com/news/houses-are-no-longer-the-best-place-for-your-money-87759.html
The median house price in Nantucket, Massachusetts, is nearly $4 million. It was just $500,000 in 1995. This sounds like a stunning increase in one of the hottest and least accessible real estate markets in the country. What’s even more stunning is the stock market: If you invested $500,000 in the S&P 500 Index in 1995, you’d have more than $8.2 million today, even more if you reinvested the dividends you earned.
Stocks have clearly been the superior investment, even as housing has moved out of reach for too many Americans. It’s no surprise then that young people are saying they would rather put their money in equities than make a down payment like people their age have done for generations.


Is Buying a Home Still the Way to Wealth? Some Young Americans Aren't Sure
https://www.fa-mag.com/news/is-buying-a-home-still-the-way-to-wealth--some-young-americans-aren-t-sure-87707.html
The fast-rising costs of owning a home have some young Americans questioning whether buying a house is still a good investment.
 
Trump makes the stock market his scoreboard, but many Americans aren't even in the game
https://www.reuters.com/business/finance/trump-makes-stock-market-his-scoreboard-many-americans-arent-even-game-2026-07-10/ 

Sunday, July 5, 2026

Ramaswamy on Wealth Inequality

How Government Spending Enriches the Wealthy
https://www.wsj.com/opinion/how-government-spending-enriches-the-wealthy-4ad7375e
Covid relief programs and easy Fed policy inflated the value of assets such as stocks and real estate.
 
Vivek Ramaswamy notes:
American wealth is concentrated at the top. On this narrow point, the socialists are correct. The top 1% now holds roughly 30% of the nation’s net worth, and the bottom half holds about 2.5%. But the greatest driver of inequality over the past five years was exactly what the socialists now demand more of: large-scale government spending.
When Washington floods the economy with borrowed and freshly printed dollars, the money flows first into assets owned by the wealthiest Americans—stocks, bonds, real estate. Six relief laws pushed roughly $4.6 trillion out the door in the bipartisan response to the pandemic. The Federal Reserve cut interest rates to zero and more than doubled its balance sheet, from about $4 trillion to nearly $9 trillion. 

Friday, July 3, 2026

Oligarchy versus Democracy

Oligarchy’s Ancient Origins
https://www.project-syndicate.org/onpoint/ancient-greece-oligarchy-bitter-struggle-with-democracy-by-matt-simonton-2026-07
The struggle between democracy and oligarchy in classical Greece was bitter, with oligarchies relying on skillfully designed political institutions to shore up unpopular regimes. As concerns grow over the “rule of the few” in the United States, Americans should consider how their own institutions are doing oligarchs’ work for them. 

The Founders Are Why America Is Rich. That Legacy Is at Risk.
https://www.wsj.com/economy/american-institutions-founding-fathers-wealth-056bbee8
Checks, balances and trust in personal agency made the U.S. a haven for entrepreneurs and wealth creation.

Tuesday, June 23, 2026

British Politics

The Forces That Broke the Two-Party System in the U.K.
https://www.wsj.com/world/uk/the-forces-that-broke-the-two-party-system-in-the-u-k-30137b8a
British politics has gone from predictable and patrician to utterly maverick. Now, the once unthinkable looks possible: an unpopular populist taking power. 

‘A Terrible Inheritance’: Could Andy Burnham Succeed Where Starmer Failed?
https://www.nytimes.com/2026/06/23/world/europe/uk-burnham-starmer-politics.html
The likely successor to Prime Minister Keir Starmer will face the same challenges of economic stagnation and ascendant populism. Will Britain give him time?

Saturday, June 20, 2026

Reagan Tax Cuts and Budget Deficits

The Surprising Truth About Reagan’s Tax Cut
https://www.wsj.com/opinion/the-surprising-truth-about-reagans-tax-cut-3f0794aa
It widened the deficit—not by cutting the top rate, but purely by relieving families from automatic increases through bracket creep. 

Friday, June 19, 2026

Limited Government - Then and Now

The Meaning of Limited Government — Then and Now
https://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/american-vision-of-limited-government-250-years-later-by-jeffrey-frankel-2026-06
In 1776, Adam Smith and America’s founders envisioned an economy that allowed individuals to pursue their own material well-being, with minimal government intervention. Today, America’s Republican Party claims to be committed to restoring that laissez-faire ideal, even as they make a mockery of its animating principles. 

Policy Distortions and the Affordability Crisis

Half of America Cannot Afford to Live, and Other Wrong Numbers
https://thedispatch.com/article/affordability-crisis-healthcare-housing-childcare/
On the affordability discourse. 

Tuesday, June 16, 2026

Manchester's Economic Revival

Manchesterism is not socialism
https://www.newstatesman.com/politics/economy/2026/06/manchesterism-is-not-socialism
Andy Burnham’s city is a neoliberal metropolis.  

Manchester is a triumph of private enterprise
https://www.ft.com/content/87e4c899-5055-4a4d-841b-c7e9b0c319a6
‘Soft left’ Labour MPs backing Andy Burnham might have learned the wrong lessons from the city’s revival.