Bad, Very Bad and Much Worse: Pick a Forecast for
the War and Economy
https://www.nytimes.com/2026/04/02/business/iran-war-economy-stocks-bonds.html
A merely bad outlook might be good enough for the markets.
America Should Beware of Economic Hubris
https://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/despite-its-strengths-the-us-economy-is-not-immune-to-iran-war-impacts-by-mohamed-a-el-erian-2026-03
Even if the US economy continues outperforming its peers, it will not necessarily remain insulated from the Iran war’s adverse spillovers. Already, higher energy and borrowing costs are exacerbating the affordability pressures many Americans face, creating downside risks for jobs, consumption, and growth.
https://www.nytimes.com/2026/04/02/business/iran-war-economy-stocks-bonds.html
A merely bad outlook might be good enough for the markets.
https://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/despite-its-strengths-the-us-economy-is-not-immune-to-iran-war-impacts-by-mohamed-a-el-erian-2026-03
Even if the US economy continues outperforming its peers, it will not necessarily remain insulated from the Iran war’s adverse spillovers. Already, higher energy and borrowing costs are exacerbating the affordability pressures many Americans face, creating downside risks for jobs, consumption, and growth.
The Economy Is on the Edge. What Could Tip It Over, or Help It Pull Through.
https://www.wsj.com/economy/economic-tail-risks-in-2026-65187567
The economy has several vulnerabilities that could erupt as high oil prices bite.
The Iran War Doesn’t Have to Be a Rerun of ‘That ’70s Show’
https://www.wsj.com/opinion/the-iran-war-doesnt-have-to-be-a-rerun-of-that-70s-show-d4c94148
Rising energy prices turn into recessions only if bad government policies compound their effects.
https://www.wsj.com/economy/economic-tail-risks-in-2026-65187567
The economy has several vulnerabilities that could erupt as high oil prices bite.
The Iran War Doesn’t Have to Be a Rerun of ‘That ’70s Show’
https://www.wsj.com/opinion/the-iran-war-doesnt-have-to-be-a-rerun-of-that-70s-show-d4c94148
Rising energy prices turn into recessions only if bad government policies compound their effects.