Thursday, January 15, 2026

Prediction Markets and the State of America

You can bet on anything in Trump’s America. Insiders are cashing in
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2026/01/14/the-insider-trading-craze-taking-over-trumps-america/
Betting sites are harnessing the wisdom of the crowd to predict major events. But suspicious trades risk warping the market.
 
Leading Prediction Firms Share a Commonality: Donald Trump Jr.
https://www.nytimes.com/2026/01/15/us/politics/donald-trump-jr-prediction-markets.html
Traders in companies with ties to the president’s eldest son can bet on the outcome of events the president affects.