Saturday, November 22, 2025

College Graduates Face an Evolving Job Market

Companies Predict 2026 Will Be the Worst College Grad Job Market in Five Years
https://www.wsj.com/lifestyle/careers/2026-graduates-job-market-7928bcd7
Hires from the Class of 2026 will stay largely flat, employers project, as layoffs rise and AI is able to do more entry-level tasks. 


How AI Is Killing the Value of a College Degree


No, College Degrees Aren’t Losing Their Value  
https://washingtonmonthly.com/2025/11/02/no-college-degrees-arent-losing-their-value/
AI is disrupting entry-level work. But don’t mistake short-term chaos for collapse. The college wage premium still holds.
 
Cline, Alexander, and Barış Kaymak. 2025. “Are Young College Graduates Losing Their Edge in the Job Market?” Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, Economic Commentary 2025-14
https://doi.org/10.26509/frbc-ec-202514
High school graduates in their twenties have consistently experienced a higher unemployment rate than college graduates in the same age range. However, the unemployment gap between the two education groups has recently narrowed, reaching its lowest level since the late 1970s. This Economic Commentary shows that this narrowing coincides with a decades-long decline, one that began around 2000, in the job-finding rate among young college graduates.