Sunday, July 27, 2025

The Depopulation Panic

The Depopulation Bomb
https://www.wsj.com/economy/global/the-depopulation-bomb-b8b4fd1e
As global fertility rates drop, two economists make the case for humans.

Without Remedy, Countries with Aging Populations Are Set for Weaker Income Growth, Says OECD
https://www.wsj.com/economy/global/without-remedy-countries-with-aging-populations-are-set-for-weaker-income-growth-says-oecd-7ad9d2e7
The ratio of those who are past working age to those between 20 and 64 will likely jump above 75% in Italy, Japan, Poland, Spain and South Korea. 


Why One of the Causes of Falling Birthrates May Be Prosperity
https://www.nytimes.com/2025/07/24/world/falling-birthrates-economic-growth-pronatalism.html
Economic growth has the unintended side effects of making parenthood more difficult and expensive.

There Is No Demographic Crisis. Only a Crisis of Care
https://www.bloomberg.com/features/2025-jennifer-sciubba-weekend-interview/
The world’s population is expected to start shrinking this century. Political demographer Jennifer Sciubba says that’s no reason to panic. 

The Debate over Falling Fertility
https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/fandd/issues/2025/06/the-debate-over-falling-fertility-david-bloom
A decline in global population later this century may threaten human progress, or it may lead to better lives.
 
Sustaining Growth in an Aging World
https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/fandd/issues/2025/06/sustaining-growth-in-an-aging-world-bertrand-gruss
Older populations need not lead to slumping economic growth and mounting fiscal pressures.
 
The Longevity Dividend
https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/fandd/issues/2025/06/the-longevity-dividend-andrew-scott
Aging populations should be embraced, not feared.

The mysterious statisticians shaping how we think about fertility 
https://www.vox.com/future-perfect/396708/world-us-population-projections-estimates-2050-2100
Experts were wrong about overpopulation before. Could they be wrong about underpopulation now?

My take:
Are we worried about the wrong demographic problem? By Vivekanand Jayakumar
https://thehill.com/opinion/4954154-falling-birth-rates-global-economy/