There’s a Job-Market Riddle at the Heart of the
Coming Recession
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-11-28/job-cuts-in-tech-and-banking-don-t-mean-mass-layoffs-in-looming-global-recession
Tech giants and banks are already cutting workers, but many employers seem desperate to keep hiring.
The puzzling disconnect between production and employment by VIVEKANAND JAYAKUMAR | The Hill, 09/19/22
https://thehill.com/opinion/finance/3650164-the-puzzling-disconnect-between-production-and-employment/
One of the puzzling economic developments during the first half of 2022 (2022H1) was the sharp disconnect between output and employment growth. Data released so far suggest that the economy shrank during 2022H1. Yet, employment growth was exceedingly robust during 2022H1.
Why are companies adding so many workers if aggregate production is falling? Is the disconnect mostly the result of measurement errors or is something more structural affecting the U.S. economy? How does the output-employment divergence affect the Federal Reserve’s ongoing battle against high inflation?
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-11-28/job-cuts-in-tech-and-banking-don-t-mean-mass-layoffs-in-looming-global-recession
Tech giants and banks are already cutting workers, but many employers seem desperate to keep hiring.
The puzzling disconnect between production and employment by VIVEKANAND JAYAKUMAR | The Hill, 09/19/22
https://thehill.com/opinion/finance/3650164-the-puzzling-disconnect-between-production-and-employment/
One of the puzzling economic developments during the first half of 2022 (2022H1) was the sharp disconnect between output and employment growth. Data released so far suggest that the economy shrank during 2022H1. Yet, employment growth was exceedingly robust during 2022H1.
Why are companies adding so many workers if aggregate production is falling? Is the disconnect mostly the result of measurement errors or is something more structural affecting the U.S. economy? How does the output-employment divergence affect the Federal Reserve’s ongoing battle against high inflation?