Attention Economy


Tuesday, July 26, 2022

US Housing Market is the Wildcard



My take:
https://thehill.com/opinion/finance/3572084-is-a-recession-inevitable/
The housing market may prove to be the ultimate wildcard in this economic cycle. The once red-hot housing market is finally starting to cool and, so far, despite rising mortgage rates and easing demand, the odds favor a soft landing in the real estate sector.
But if interest rates were to surge more than expected and if financial conditions were to deteriorate suddenly, the potential for a sharper downturn in real estate activity cannot be ruled out. Investors have an unusually large exposure to the housing market, and any rush to the exit may trigger a sharp home price correction that affects household and financial sector balance sheets and generates real economic pain.