Attention Economy


Wednesday, March 2, 2022

How Will the Ukraine Conflict End?

How the Crisis in Ukraine May End
https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2022/02/how-crisis-ukraine-will-end/622942/
Paul Poast, a professor of foreign policy and war at the University of Chicago, notes:
There is a useful analogy with Pearl Harbor. In the late 1930s, Japan had invaded Manchuria and was engaged in a war with China. And the U.S., which was supporting China at the time, imposed an oil embargo on Japan. We squeezed the Japanese government until they realized they only had about a year and a half of resources left. They were desperate to stop the oil embargo. So, they took the gamble of Pearl Harbor and paid for it with a costly war in the Pacific. I think we have to consider a question: If we apply similar economic pressure to Russia, could Putin make a similar decision to what Japan did in 1941? 

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