US Business Cycle Turning Points

A recession will come. How bad will it be?

https://www.washingtonpost.com/us-policy/2019/08/16/recession-is-coming-how-bad-will-it-be/

What is an ‘inverted yield curve’ and why does it matter?

https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2019/08/14/recession-watch-what-is-an-inverted-yield-curve-why-does-it-matter/

What the Yield Curve Says About When the Next Recession Could Happen

https://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/2019-yield-curve-inversions/

UPDATE:
This is the factor that’s most likely to determine whether there’s a U.S. recession
https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2019/08/29/this-is-factor-thats-likely-determine-whether-theres-us-recession/