Thursday, October 29, 2026

The Fed's Policy Dilemma

The Fed’s AI Puzzle: Will High Rates Slow the Boom?
https://www.wsj.com/economy/central-banking/the-feds-ai-puzzle-will-high-rates-slow-the-boom-c9c43ce2
Warsh said higher rates are reaching the investment surge and growth is broadening beyond it. The positions cut in opposite directions for where to set rates.
 
In Moving Gradually, Fed Risks Having to Play Catch-Up to Quell Inflation
https://www.nytimes.com/2026/10/29/business/economy/federal-reserve-interest-rates.html
Federal Reserve officials are expected to restart rate increases in December, but the cadence of additional moves will depend on the data.
 
Fed Will Hold Fewer Rate-Setting Meetings Starting Next Year
https://www.nytimes.com/2026/10/28/business/economy/fed-meetings-2027-interest-rates-warsh.html
Kevin M. Warsh, the Federal Reserve’s chairman, said the central bank would vote on interest rates seven times in 2027 and six in 2028. It has traditionally voted eight times per year. 

Wednesday, October 28, 2026

The Rental Market

A Punishing Housing Market Is Squeezing Renters
https://www.nytimes.com/2026/10/28/business/housing-market-rent-pressure.html
Higher mortgage rates and slowing residential construction are again giving landlords the upper hand.  

Will AI Investments Payoff?

What if AI turns out to be a terrible investment?
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2026/10/28/what-if-ai-turns-out-to-be-a-terrible-investment/
The trillions being poured into computing infrastructure may never generate sufficient returns. 

China's AI Bubble Has Already Popped

Quants Rule

AI Talent War has Quant Firms Racing to Fund PhDs, Build Labs
https://www.fa-mag.com/news/ai-talent-war-has-quant-firms-racing-to-fund-phds--build-labs-88961.html
Wall Street’s quant firms have long been among the most lucrative destinations for the world’s top scientific minds. The AI boom has given those mathematicians and physicists another set of deep-pocketed suitors — and sent some of finance’s most secretive employers on an increasingly public recruitment drive. 

Tuesday, October 27, 2026

History Lessons: Technology and the Labor Market

For Clues About How A.I. Will Change Work, Look to the Past
https://www.nytimes.com/2026/10/22/business/economy/ai-economy-jobs-history.html
Economists hope earlier episodes of labor disruption, from the Industrial Revolution to the Great Depression, can help us prepare for the age of artificial intelligence. 

Lula’s Challenges


Brazilian Markets Convulse After Unexpected Election Result
https://www.nytimes.com/2026/10/26/business/brazil-stock-markets-election-lula.html
President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva’s re-election victory prompted a sharp reversal in financial markets that had expected his opponent to win. 

 
Lula faces a fiscal reckoning after Brazil's market rout
https://www.ft.com/content/0231b234-14dc-4ff0-8263-e1063b0a25d5
 
Brazil's weird economy needs serious reform
https://www.economist.com/finance-and-economics/2026/10/22/brazils-weird-economy-needs-serious-reform 

Another Crash Landing for Brazil’s Economy?
https://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/brazil-fiscal-deterioration-under-lula-will-carry-high-domestic-costs-by-gene-frieda-2026-10
Brazil’s floating exchange rate, high foreign-exchange reserves, strong commodity exports, and debt denominated predominantly in its own currency reduce its exposure to a balance-of-payments crisis. Nonetheless, continued fiscal deterioration under President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva will carry high domestic costs.