Wednesday, July 7, 2021

US Monetary Policy and Emerging Markets

A rate rise in the U.S. might trigger big problems in the developing world
https://www.washingtonpost.com/us-policy/2021/07/06/emerging-market-debt-g20/ 

Labor Share of Income – High Skilled versus Low Skilled

Labor’s Share of the Money Pie Is Bigger Than Economists Thought
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-07-07/labor-s-share-of-the-money-pie-is-bigger-than-economists-thought
 
Human Capitalists by Andrea L. Eisfeldt, Antonio Falato, and Mindy Z. Xiaolan
https://www.nber.org/system/files/working_papers/w28815/w28815.pdf
ABSTRACT
The widespread and growing use of equity-based compensation has transformed high-skilled labor from a pure labor input to a class of "human capitalists." We show that high-skilled labor earns substantial income in the form of equity claims to firms' future dividends and capital gains. Equity-based compensation has dramatically increased since the 1980s, representing forty percent of total compensation to high-skilled labor in recent years. Ignoring equity income causes incorrect measurement of the returns to high-skilled labor, with substantial effects on macroeconomic trends. In our sample, including equity-based compensation in high-skilled labor income reduces the total decline in labor's wage-only income share relative to total value added since the 1980s by over 30%. The inclusion of equity-based compensation also eliminates the majority of the decline in the high-skilled labor share. Only by including equity pay does our structural estimation support complementarity between high-skilled labor and physical capital greater than that of Cobb and Douglas (1928). We also provide additional regression evidence of such complementarity.

Tuesday, July 6, 2021

Declining US Fertility Rates

Expanding opportunities for women and economic uncertainty are both factors in declining US fertility rates
https://theconversation.com/expanding-opportunities-for-women-and-economic-uncertainty-are-both-factors-in-declining-us-fertility-rates-162494 

Political Risk and Chinese Stocks

How Wall Street Lost Sight of Didi's Risks

'Wokeness' and the Politicization of the Inequality Debate

Will America’s Woke Wars Be Britain’s Too?
Politicizing inequality may win votes, but it won’t fix problems. In fact, it will only create bigger ones.
https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2021-07-06/will-america-s-culture-wars-be-britain-s-too

Tech Firms and Competition

A classic Silicon Valley tactic — losing money to crush rivals — comes in for scrutiny
https://www.washingtonpost.com/technology/2021/07/06/facebook-bulletin-antitrust/