Thursday, January 16, 2020

Forecasts in Political Science

An interesting read:
Political science has its limits when it comes to presidential prediction
DAVID SCHULTZ notes:
“The study of politics goes back to the Greek philosophers Plato and Aristotle. Yet modern political science is a construct of the post-World War II era, a response to the challenges of modern science ... Looking at these accomplishments, some sought to make the study of government and politics a science. A scientific study of politics meant building models that could mathematically predict events, much like physicists or chemists can calculate or predict molecular or chemical reactions. Prediction included the concepts of description and explanation. This is what the “science” in political science meant.” 


US Economy and the 2020 Election
The Truth About the Trump Economy

Trump Fans or Not, Business Owners Are Wary of Warren and Sanders

The Trouble with Housing

The West’s biggest economic policy mistake: Its obsession with home ownership undermines growth, fairness and public faith in capitalism

Housing is at the root of many of the rich world’s problems

Related:

The Fed and the Repo Market

Implementing Monetary Policy in a Changing Federal Funds Market

Understanding Recent Fluctuations in Short-Term Interest Rates

How Did the Fed Funds Market Change When Excess Reserves Were Abundant?

Big Banks and the US Repo Market Crisis