Monday, June 23, 2014

Cross-Country GDP Comparisons


An interesting NBER working paper:

Trying to Understand the PPPs in ICP2011: Why are the Results so Different?
Angus Deaton, Bettina Aten
NBER Working Paper No. 20244
:
The 2011 round of the International Comparison Program (ICP) has published a set of purchasing power parities (PPPs) that are sharply different from those that were expected from extrapolation of the 2005 round. In particular, the world in 2011 looks sharply more equal than previously calculated, because consumption and GDP in most poor countries were revised upward relative to the U.S. and other rich countries. Here we attempt to find out what happened. It is first noted that the 2005 round was itself sharply different from what was then expected, and made the world much less equal. We argue that the 2011 round is superior to the 2005 round, and that many of the changes in 2011 undo what happened in 2005. We identify a likely source of the problem, which is the way that the regions of the ICP were linked in 2005. We use two different methods for measuring the size of the effect. Both suggest that the 2005 PPPs for consumption for countries in Asia (excluding Japan), Western Asia, and Africa were overstated by between 20 to 30 percent. If these results are correct, they call for substantive backward revision of international comparisons, as well as estimates of global poverty and inequality.


Earlier post on the topic:

History Still Matters


History Matters for Foreign Policy - Understanding Modern Day Problems Requires a Good Grasp of History

Friday, June 20, 2014

Technology versus Humanity


“The machines to which we have become enslaved, all of them quite astonishing, represent the greatest assault on human attention ever devised: they are engines of mental and spiritual dispersal, which make us wider only by making us less deep.” 

Thursday, June 19, 2014

Must Read – ‘THE DISRUPTION MACHINE”


THE DISRUPTION MACHINE: What the gospel of innovation gets wrong.
BY JILL LEPORE

Jill Lepore offers a blistering (and frankly, a much needed) critique of Christensen’s thesis of disruptive innovation. Lepore wisely observes:
“Every age has a theory of rising and falling, of growth and decay, of bloom and wilt: a theory of nature. Every age also has a theory about the past and the present, of what was and what is, a notion of time: a theory of history.”

Comparison of Healthcare Systems

A comparison of healthcare systems across advanced economies:
http://www.commonwealthfund.org/publications/fund-reports/2014/jun/mirror-mirror

International Affairs


A Tale of Modern India – Mumbai’s Top Builder

Dubai’s Rise as an Aeroport

Jim O'Neill on China's Premier Li Keqiang

Failure of Latin America’s Left