Friday, June 1, 2012

What is Wrong With the Indian Economy?


What is wrong with the Indian economy?

Economist, Arvind Subramanian, offers some excellent insights regarding the challenges afflicting the Indian economy in this op-ed:

In particular, Subramanian suggests:
“In the last few years, the Indian economy has become increasingly afflicted by the curse of rents. There have been terrestrial rents (from the allocation of land), subterranean rents (from the allocation of rights to coal mining and oil and gas exploration), and ethereal rents (from the allocation of spectrum). The curse has not just been the unfair sharing of the rents between the government and private sector at the expense of the consumer. It has really been the resulting efficiency cost, whereby corruption has impaired the supply capacity of the economy. Rent-seeking in land has affected the provision of infrastructure. Rent-seeking in coal has affected power generation capacity. Rent-seeking in spectrum nearly paralyzed the process of government itself. The private sector is far from blameless for the surge in rent-seeking, but this government is its root cause because it decides and controls the allocation of scarce resources.”

Is the Global Economy Slowing Down?

It does look like the annual Springtime economic swoon is back (as we saw in 2010 and 2011). This year, however, the emerging markets are slowing down rather sharply. Figures released recently by Brazil, India and China are all indicating a rather sharp economic slowdown amongst the largest emerging markets.

Eurozone unemployment rate hit a record 11%, which, when combined with zero regional economic growth for Q1, makes for a gloomy 2012 for much of Europe. It is worth noting that a non-eurozone member, Britain, is currently in throes of a double-dip recession.

US 2012Q1 real GDP rate was revised downward (to less than 2%) and May labor market figures were dismal.

All in all, very few bright spots (no big natural disasters so far in 2012 may be one) in the global economy.

US May 2012 BLS Labor Market Report

WSJ Analysis: