Friday, September 23, 2011

Understanding International Trade - A Modern View

Here is an excellent testimony on International Trade and US Prosperity By Philip I. Levy. Hopefully, the idiots in Congress were paying attention.


A key point made by Levy, which even some economists don't appear to grasp, is regarding the utter irrelevance of bilateral trade data:


"...related source of confusion comes from trying to interpret bilateral trade balances in an integrated, multilateral world economy. In recent years, this has focused public attention on the U.S. trade relationship with the People's Republic of China. I will return to the policy questions surrounding that relationship later, but the large and persistent U.S. trade deficit with China has been held responsible for significant U.S. manufacturing job loss by organizations such as the Alliance for American Manufacturing and the Economic Policy Institute.  While there are certainly serious issues with China's economic policies, the bilateral trade balance can be a deeply misleading measure. It evokes a two-country world, in which any job not undertaken in China would be done in the United States.  In fact, one key to China's emergence as a global trading power was that it enmeshed itself in an East Asian trading network, often taking in nearly-finished goods and providing the final touches. What's more, just because China may be the low-cost producer of a particular good does not mean that the United States is the next lowest-cost producer. This misconception helped prompt the misguided U.S. Section 421 action against Chinese tires in 2009, which seems to have served mostly to reshuffle the sourcing of U.S. tire imports to other countries, while doing little or nothing to spur U.S. domestic tire production." 
 
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How to reduce US healthcare costs?
Open the sector to international trade.
http://money.cnn.com/2011/09/16/news/economy/debt_committee_health_costs/


Wednesday, September 21, 2011

Fall Reading Recommendations

Fall Reading List

Grand Pursuit: The Story of Economic Genius by Sylvia Nasar

Lost Decades: The Making of America's Debt Crisis and the Long Recovery by Menzie D. Chinn and Jeffry A. Frieden

Boomerang: Travels in the New Third World by Michael Lewis

Eclipse: Living in the Shadow of China's Economic Dominance by Arvind Subramanian



India: A Portrait by Patrick French

Knocking on Heaven's Door: How Physics and Scientific Thinking Illuminate the Universe and the Modern World by Lisa Randall

(See Lisa Randall on The Charlie Rose Show here:

BRIC, CIVETS, ...


CIVETS – The New Darlings of the Investment Community?

Turkey – Star of the CIVETS

Saturday, September 17, 2011

Interesting Application of Economics

The Economics of Beauty:
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/economics/8765360/Does-being-ugly-make-you-poor.html

Dumb and Dumber

Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner offers financial advise to Europeans. The European response, as noted in this NYTIMES article, was not surprising:
““I found it peculiar that, even though the Americans have significantly worse fundamental data than the euro zone, that they tell us what we should do,” Maria Fekter, the finance minister of Austria, said after the meeting Friday morning. “I had expected that, when he tells us how he sees the world, that he would listen to what we have to say.””

Meanwhile, Continental Europeans push for a Tobin Tax (tax on financial transactions) to pay for the various bailouts, and, not surprisingly, the two countries with the most powerful financial lobbyists (US and UK) are dead set against it.
See economist Mark Thoma's arguments in favor of a Tobin Tax here:
http://blogs.reuters.com/great-debate/2011/08/17/merkel-and-sarkozy-are-right-about-a-tobin-tax/