Why Were Forecasts Off? By Tom Barkin, President, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond
https://www.richmondfed.org/press_room/speeches/thomas_i_barkin/2024/barkin_speech_20240628
My take from Spring 2024:
https://www.ut.edu/uploadedFiles/Academics/Business/Economics/TBESpring2024.pdf
https://www.richmondfed.org/press_room/speeches/thomas_i_barkin/2024/barkin_speech_20240628
https://www.ut.edu/uploadedFiles/Academics/Business/Economics/TBESpring2024.pdf