Attention Economy


Sunday, September 27, 2015

US 2015 GDP – An Update

The Roller Coaster Ride Continues –
“Stephen Stanley, chief U.S. economist at Amherst Pierpont Securities, said he expects slower inventory accumulation to shave off one percentage point from the third-quarter growth rate, leaving it slightly above 2%. Many other economists project growth in the same territory.
“Just because of the inventory situation this year, it may be that the second quarter is strong and maybe the fourth quarter is OK but the third quarter is a little on the softer side. But I think we’re going to end up at the same place,” said Mr. Stanley, who expects a 2.4% growth rate for the year, roughly the same as 2014.”
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A Simple Solution – Ignore quarter-on-quarter changes - shown in dark red (instead, focus on change from same period a year ago - shown in black):