Wednesday, September 19, 2012

The Debates Continue ...


Did the US Administration Miss an Opportunity to Deal with Long Term Challenges?
Short Term vs. Long-Term Policy Choices
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-09-17/obama-s-short-run-fixes-neglect-long-term-reform.html

Which Segment of the Population Should the Government Focus on To Reinvigorate the Economy?
An Unorthodox Take on Multipliers and Spending

Where is the Stock Market Headed?
The Stock Market and the Demographic Shift

Monday, September 17, 2012

Monday Sept 17 Highlights


A Few Prominent Economists (including Meltzer and Taylor) Warn of the Long-Term Risks from Recent Fed Actions:


Robert Samuelson at Washington Post Notes the Declining Effectiveness of Stimulus Measures:


Marc Faber is Clearly Unhappy with Monetary Stimulus (He Sounds Like a Crank but is Worth Listening to for Investment Recommendations)


Euro – Looking Better?

The Decline of Investment Banking

US Corporate Rate Profits Likely to Ease

Friday, September 14, 2012

The Long-Run Growth Controversy


Northwestern economist, Robert Gordon, appears to have set off a fresh round of debate on the potential sustainability of growth in the US over the long run. In his NBER paper (Is U.S. Economic Growth Over? Faltering Innovation Confronts the Six Headwinds), he argues that US productivity growth rate has returned to a low growth trend (following a brief spike between 1996 and 2004) and that the economy faces major headwinds that are likely to reduce future growth prospects.

Thursday, September 13, 2012

China's Economy in Transition



Hayek vs. Keynes – The China Investment Debate

Sino Spending


Excellent IMF Video on China’s Economy

Has the Fed Implicitly Adopted NGDP Targeting?



The Fed statement appears to indicate indirect NGDP (nominal GDP) targeting. By giving an open-ended commitment to undertake monthly asset purchases until the labor market improves, the Fed is essentially aiming for a higher level of output and is not too worried about medium-term inflation risk.
Here is a nice intro to NGDP targeting for novices -
http://www.economist.com/node/21526886

Sept 13 FOMC Meeting

Bloomberg Report