Does Trade Reform Promote Economic Growth? A Review
of Recent Evidence
Abstract
Do trade reforms that significantly reduce import
barriers lead to faster economic growth? In the twenty-five years since
Rodríguez and Rodrik's (2000) critical survey of empirical work on this
question, new research has tried to overcome the various methodological
problems that have plagued previous attempts to provide a convincing answer. I
examine three strands of recent work on this issue: cross-country regressions
focusing on within-country growth, synthetic control methods on specific reform
episodes, and empirical country studies looking at the channels through which
lower trade barriers may increase productivity. A consistent finding is that
trade reforms have had a positive impact on economic growth, on average,
although the effect is heterogeneous across countries. Overall, these research
findings should temper some of the previous agnosticism about the empirical
link between trade reform and economic performance.
The US is one of the least trade-oriented countries
in the world – despite laying the groundwork for today’s globalized system
Protectionism on Steroids
https://www.milkenreview.org/articles/protectionism-on-steroids
https://www.milkenreview.org/articles/protectionism-on-steroids