Recent indicators suggest that economic activity has continued to expand at a modest pace. Job gains have been robust in recent months, and the unemployment rate has remained low. Inflation remains elevated.
The U.S. banking system is sound and resilient. Tighter credit conditions for households and businesses are likely to weigh on economic activity, hiring, and inflation. The extent of these effects remains uncertain. The Committee remains highly attentive to inflation risks.
The Committee seeks to achieve maximum employment and inflation at the rate of 2 percent over the longer run. In support of these goals, the Committee decided to maintain the target range for the federal funds rate at 5 to 5-1/4 percent. Holding the target range steady at this meeting allows the Committee to assess additional information and its implications for monetary policy. In determining the extent of additional policy firming that may be appropriate to return inflation to 2 percent over time, the Committee will take into account the cumulative tightening of monetary policy, the lags with which monetary policy affects economic activity and inflation, and economic and financial developments. In addition, the Committee will continue reducing its holdings of Treasury securities and agency debt and agency mortgage-backed securities, as described in its previously announced plans. The Committee is strongly committed to returning inflation to its 2 percent objective.
In assessing the appropriate stance of monetary policy, the Committee will continue to monitor the implications of incoming information for the economic outlook. The Committee would be prepared to adjust the stance of monetary policy as appropriate if risks emerge that could impede the attainment of the Committee's goals. The Committee's assessments will take into account a wide range of information, including readings on labor market conditions, inflation pressures and inflation expectations, and financial and international developments.
FOMC Projections - June 2023:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/files/fomcprojtabl20230614.pdf
https://www.wsj.com/articles/stock-market-to-fed-you-havent-done-enough-45c7a23e
Bullish stocks, low bond yields and recovering housing market suggest interest rates aren’t that restrictive
The Fed’s Monetary Policy Tool Kit Needs an Overhaul
https://www.wsj.com/articles/the-feds-monetary-policy-tool-kit-needs-an-overhaul-interest-rates-budget-ea23c68a
Did we just dodge a recession?
https://thehill.com/opinion/finance/4024671-did-we-just-dodge-a-recession/
Will the Fed keep interest rates ‘higher for longer’?
https://thehill.com/opinion/finance/4005495-will-the-fed-keep-interest-rates-higher-for-longer/