Attention Economy


Tuesday, December 13, 2022

Disinflation and the Debate Surrounding the Fed's Rate Hike Path

The Federal Reserve signals more to come even as it slows rate increases.
https://www.nytimes.com/2022/12/14/business/economy/interest-rates-inflation-fed.html

How Long Should Powell Keep Raising Interest Rates? Fed Officials Are Divided
https://www.wsj.com/articles/powell-federal-reserve-interest-rates-inflation-11670859520 

Inflation Forecasts Were Wrong Last Year. Should We Believe Them Now?
https://www.nytimes.com/2022/12/12/business/economy/inflation-forecasts-historical-outlook.html
That is where Fed policy could come in. Companies can only charge more if their customers are able — and willing — to pay more. The Fed can stop that chain reaction by lifting interest rates to slow demand.
Policymakers have raised interest rates from near-zero at the start of 2022 to nearly 4 percent, and are expected to make another interest rate increase this week. Those moves have made it more expensive to borrow money to buy a house, finance a big purchase or expand a business.
The knock-on effects are now trickling through the economy: Fewer house sales could eventually mean less hiring in construction and manufacturing, which in turn would mean less spending in the local economies where would-be builders and factory workers live. As the job market slows down and wage growth moderates, demand is expected to weaken for everything from dinners out to air travel.

From chicken wings to used cars, inflation begins to ease its grip
https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2022/12/04/inflation-prices-going-down/ 

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