Attention Economy


Sunday, March 29, 2020

State Capacity and the Size of Government Debate

Causes of Decline in US State Capacity
Bloomberg’s Noah Smith (who has a Ph.D. in Economics from U of Michigan) notes:
“But the U.S. made big moves toward centralization to deal with the Civil War, the Great Depression, World War II and the Cold War. Those successful responses show that the U.S. has been capable of adapting to the challenges of upheaval in the past. Recently, though, the U.S. has allowed its civil service to shrink and its salaries to become less competitive with the private sector, outsourcing many of the bureaucracy’s functions. …
It’s tempting to blame this on small-government ideology, but the coronavirus failures also involved over-regulation by the FDA. In general, fans of more government and less government seem unable to prioritize high-quality, effective government — what my Bloomberg Opinion colleague Tyler Cowen and his fellow economist Mark Koyama call state capacity”.

It’s easy to blame Trump for this fiasco. But there’s a much larger story.
“It’s easy to blame Trump, and the president has been inept from the start. But there is a much larger story behind this fiasco. The United States is paying the price today for decades of defunding government, politicizing independent agencies, fetishizing local control, and demeaning and disparaging government workers and bureaucrats.
This was not always how it was. America has historically prized limited but effective government. In Federalist 70, Alexander Hamilton wrote, “A government ill executed, whatever it may be in theory, must be, in practice, a bad government.” President Franklin D. Roosevelt created the modern federal bureaucracy, which was strikingly lean and efficient. In recent decades, as the scope of government has increased, the bureaucracy has been starved and made increasingly dysfunctional.”

Ongoing Consequences of the Decline in State Capacity
How a Failure to Test Blinded the U.S. to Covid-19
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/28/us/testing-coronavirus-pandemic.html

Desperate for medical equipment, states find a beleaguered national stockpile
https://www.washingtonpost.com/national/health-science/desperate-for-medical-equipment-states-encounter-a-beleaguered-national-stockpile/2020/03/28/1f4f9a0a-6f82-11ea-aa80-c2470c6b2034_story.html
The U.S. Tried to Build a New Fleet of Ventilators. The Mission Failed.
“Thirteen years ago, a group of U.S. public health officials came up with a plan to address what they regarded as one of the medical system’s crucial vulnerabilities: a shortage of ventilators….
Money was budgeted. A federal contract was signed. Work got underway.
And then things suddenly veered off course. A multibillion-dollar maker of medical devices bought the small California company that had been hired to design the new machines. The project ultimately produced zero ventilators….
The stalled efforts to create a new class of cheap, easy-to-use ventilators highlight the perils of outsourcing projects with critical public-health implications to private companies; their focus on maximizing profits is not always consistent with the government’s goal of preparing for a future crisis”.
To address coronavirus-related shortages, companies want the federal government to provide strategic guidance

SIZE versus QUALITY of GOVERNMENT
Quality of Government, Not Size, Is the Key to Freedom and Prosperity

Rafael La Porta; Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes; Andrei Shleifer and Robert Vishny, (1999), The Quality of GovernmentJournal of Law, Economics, and Organization15, (1), 222-79

If You Want Bigger Government, Vote Republican
“… for decades, we've been told that a vote for the GOP  is a vote for "smaller government." This is repeated both by Republicans, who say it like it's a good thing, and by Democrats who still seem to think that the GOP is committed to cutting grandma's safety net. If we look at federal spending, though, it's easy to see that the myth of the budget-cutting Republican president is just that: a myth.”
The political colour of fiscal responsibility
“The recent debt growth under the Trump administration is remarkable, especially since it occurred during years of economic expansion. The rhetoric of political debate might give the impression that this is an unusual behaviour for a conservative government. For instance, in March 2011, 23 Republican Senators publicly urged President Obama to reduce the deficit to protect future generations. The reality is quite different. Since the end of WWII, Republican administrations have systematically been more prone to expand debt, except during times of crisis. The Trump administration is continuing in this tradition”.

BIG PICTURE VIEW
David Runciman on political timing and the pandemic
“Partisanship and the tribalism of our politics have entrenched this division, particularly online. Rumour and suspicion abound”.