Attention Economy


Wednesday, November 6, 2019

US Trade Deficits - Economic Theory Works

Trump Vowed to Shrink the Trade Gap. It Keeps Growing.
https://www.nytimes.com/2019/11/05/us/politics/us-trade-deficit.html

Prediction: Expansionary fiscal policy will widen the trade deficit

Prediction comes true: US posts a record trade deficit in 2018
https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/economy/trump-promised-to-shrink-the-trade-deficit-instead-it-exploded/2019/03/05/35d3b1e0-3f8f-11e9-a0d3-1210e58a94cf_story.html

US Budget Deficit Explodes
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-03-05/u-s-budget-deficit-widens-77-percent-as-revenue-declines


Nobel Prize winning economist Paul Krugman points out an obvious fact:
“The reason America runs persistent trade deficits isn’t that we’ve given away too much in trade deals, it’s that we have low savings compared with other countries.”

“Mr. Trump views the trade deficit with China as a sort of economic scorecard for which country is on top. Most economists disagree with this perspective, viewing trade deficits as neither a sign of economic strength nor weakness, but a function of macroeconomic factors like investment flows, fluctuations in the value of currency and relative growth rates.”