Will a Self-Inflicted Supply Shock and/or Bad Leadership Cause the Next Recession?

Nouriel Roubini notes:

https://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/global-recession-us-china-trade-war-by-nouriel-roubini-2019-08

“Unlike the 2008 global financial crisis, which was mostly a large negative aggregate demand shock, the next recession is likely to be caused by permanent negative supply shocks from the Sino-American trade and technology war.” 

U.S., China dig in over trade; Trump calls on firms to cut ties with Beijing
https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2019/08/23/china-hits-us-with-tariffs-billion-worth-goods-reinstates-auto-levies-state-media-report/

When will Trump supporters finally say, ‘Okay, this is not normal’?

https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2019/08/23/when-will-trump-supporters-finally-say-okay-this-is-not-normal/

How to respond to a manic president driving the economy into the ditch

https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2019/08/25/how-respond-manic-president-driving-economy-into-ditch/

Once a beacon of stability, the U.S. has become a source of tumult.

https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2019-08-22/ahead-of-jackson-hole-emerging-markets-lose-faith-in-the-fed

The Trump economy: A chaotic, contradictory response to a slowdown

https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2019/08/22/trump-economy-month-chaotic-response/

Trump’s recession strategy will be trying to prove his wrong ideas are right

https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/trumps-tendency-to-double-down-on-bad-ideas-doesnt-bode-well-for-the-economy/2019/08/22/7ae50bb0-c51a-11e9-b5e4-54aa56d5b7ce_story.html

Soaring deficits could put Trump in a corner if there's a recession

https://thehill.com/policy/finance/458334-soaring-deficits-could-put-trump-in-a-corner-if-theres-a-recession