Attention Economy


Tuesday, August 27, 2019

Trump versus the Fed

Former President of NYFED, Bill Dudley, notes:
The Fed Shouldn’t Enable Donald Trump
“U.S. President Donald Trump’s trade war with China keeps undermining the confidence of businesses and consumers, worsening the economic outlook. This manufactured disaster-in-the-making presents the Federal Reserve with a dilemma: Should it mitigate the damage by providing offsetting stimulus, or refuse to play along?
If the ultimate goal is a healthy economy, the Fed should seriously consider the latter approach.”


Bloomberg’s John Authers notes:
“The presidential Twitter feed has long provided an insight into Trump’s personality, and most have disliked what they have seen. But for the most part, it has been possible until recently to dismiss the missives. Trump’s tweets reveal the president to be self-obsessed and vain, the argument went, but so what? Other politicians have similar flaws; the only difference is that they try to hide them.
It’s hard to dismiss the tweets of the last few days this way. The average professional investor is not equipped to be a psychiatrist, which makes the problem harder. But to the layman, Trump appears to have moved from pettiness and vanity to something more serious. Retweeting with approving comments someone who likened him to the “King of Israel” and subsequently joking about being the “chosen one” seems unhinged to many in markets. You can throw in his “ordering” U.S. companies to boycott China, and speculating about whether Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell is the greatest “enemy” of the U.S.”

Stephen S. Roach, a faculty member at Yale University and former Chairman of Morgan Stanley Asia, notes:
“Despite years of denial, there can no longer be any doubt that the US is pursuing a bipartisan containment strategy vis-à-vis China. Whether justified or not, the real problem with this strategy is less the merits of the allegations leveled by US politicians than the incoherence of the Trump administration’s policies to address them.