Will we soon see category 6 hurricanes?
“Lin and Emanuel
said their research showed that not only were grey swan hurricanes now likely
to occur, one such devastating hurricane would almost certainly hit the Persian
Gulf region – a place where tropical cyclones have never even been seen in history.
They identified a “potentially large risk in the Persian Gulf, where tropical
cyclones have never been recorded, and larger-than-expected threats in Cairns,
Australia, and Tampa, Florida”.
Emanuel and Lin
showed that the risk of such extreme grey swan hurricanes in Tampa, Cairns, and
the Persian Gulf increased by up to a factor of 14 over time as Earth’s climate
changed”.