Attention Economy


Saturday, December 31, 2016

It is Time to Reconsider Political Risk

The standard assumption/belief that emerging markets are riskier than advanced economies appears increasingly shaky. 
FT’s Gillian Tett has a great piece on the topic: Political risk means all 2017 investment bets are off
Tett notes:
“Twenty years ago, when I was a rookie reporter, a colleague told me that the “problem” with emerging market assets was that they were irritatingly hard to value. …But the bigger issue was politics: emerging markets were more unpredictable than markets in Europe or America because they suffered from political risks such as revolutions, coups and capricious demagogues — or so the theory went.
How times change. A decade ago, investors were forced to rethink one of these assumptions when America and Europe were engulfed by the 2008 financial crisis. Now they are being forced to evaluate a second assumption, about political risk.
Most notably, 2016 was the year when western markets were rocked by political shocks almost as startling as anything seen recently from the emerging markets world.”

Related:
http://vivekjayakumar.blogspot.com/2016/09/why-financial-markets-and-global.html