Attention Economy


Wednesday, September 14, 2016

US Political Uncertainty – Assessing the Macroeconomic Impact

Political uncertainty is affecting businesses negatively:
“As presidential candidates Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump march toward the November election ever closer in opinion polls, a new report finds political uncertainty on Main Street is growing.
New data from the National Federation of Independent Business finds a record 38 percent of small businesses are citing political uncertainty as a reason not to expand — an all-time high for the group’s monthly Small Business Optimism Index. This time last year, political uncertainty was at just 20 percent.”

According to the economic consulting firm Oxford Economics –
“A win for U.S. presidential candidate Donald Trump could have grave implications for the world's largest economy, according to Oxford Economics.
If Trump were able to implement all of his proposed policies, that would undermine global economic growth and knock 5 percent off where U.S. gross domestic product (GDP) would otherwise be in 2021, U.K.-based economists Jamie Thompson and Sarah Maxwell said in a note Tuesday. That would erase as much as $1 trillion off the forecast size of the U.S. economy in 2021, Thompson said via email.”