Attention Economy


Monday, May 16, 2016

Political Uncertainty and Economic Activity

Election year uncertainty may adversely affect the performance of the American economy
The WSJ piece notes –
“Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton promise to rejuvenate the nation’s economy. Meanwhile, the process of electing one of them to the presidency will likely bruise it.
The two leading presidential candidates, who sit far apart on the ideological spectrum, have prescribed either divergent or vague plans for trade, taxes, immigration and other policies that deeply influence the economy. That is stoking uncertainty, something businesses don’t like and consumers can find unsettling.
“Firms are going to be reluctant to invest or hire if they have no idea of future government policy, and if it’s cheap to wait they will do that,” said Nicholas Bloom, a Stanford University professor who has studied the effects of uncertainty on the economy.”