Attention Economy


Monday, January 25, 2016

Is Fed Policy Responsible for Recent Market Turmoil?

Greg Ip of WSJ argues that policy actions/indications by the Federal Reserve have contributed significantly to the recent market turmoil:
“When short-term rates are around zero and thus can’t change much, the Fed relies even more on broader financial conditions to affect growth—and has even less say in the outcome. It is reminiscent of the 19th century when central banks were less important or nonexistent.
“If you are a central bank reliant on increasing risk as your method for stoking spending you’re going to run into a major problem,” says Peter Berezin of BCA Research. “You can only increase risk so much. And when investors pull back, they do so in a very sharp way.”
The commodity boom had real drivers, namely the U.S. shale-oil revolution and China. But central banks greased the skids. Investors, seeking something better than the paltry returns on bank deposits and Treasury bonds, threw money at emerging-market countries and energy companies.”