Robin Harding of the FT offers a positive take on global
demographic trends – The end of the Malthusian
nightmare
http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/0d7d245a-400c-11e5-b98b-87c7270955cf.html
Harding states -
Harding states -
“The extent of the
plunge in childbearing is startling. Eighty-three countries containing 46 per
cent of the world’s population — including every single country in Europe — now
have fertility below replacement rate of about 2.1 births per woman. Another 46
per cent live in countries where the birth rate has fallen sharply. In 48
countries the population will decline between now and 2050.
That leaves just 9
per cent of the world’s population, almost all in Africa, living in nations
with pre-industrial fertility rates of five or six children per woman. But even
in Africa fertility is starting to dip.”
The latest UN population projections –
The latest projections make the following article from
The Economist appear rather ridiculous:
Total Fertility Rate versus Cohort Fertility Rate
Related:
Europe’s migrant crisis may turn out to be more
consequential than the Greek crisis in the long run. Various perspectives on
the topic –
http://www.spiegel.de/international/europe/tourists-and-refugess-cross-paths-in-the-mediterranean-a-1046969.html