Attention Economy


Sunday, August 30, 2020

Seeing the Lighter Side of Things

Teaching Modalities for Fall Semester - David Galef offers a facetious look at the different ways of offering courses at U of All People.
https://www.insidehighered.com/views/2020/08/28/facetious-look-different-ways-offering-courses-fall-opinion 
Face/No Face: Combination of live and online teaching spitballed by remote administrators to regain lost revenue. Teachers address live, huddled-apart students while frantically eyeballing the rest of the class via thumbnail views on laptop. Live students must wear masks and are discouraged from nosers or neck-warmer styles. Online students must be at least half-attentive since they will form the next live group, when the formerly live group retreats to online or astral projection. Instructors are multitaskers used to driving while texting”. 

Abe’s Legacy

Leaders and Followers

It’s not just Trump. Voters happily adopt their leaders’ views.
Political science research shows that this “follow the leader” dynamic is hardly limited to Trump. It occurs throughout history, on both sides of the aisle and in other countries. It happens even when party elites try to stop it. In general, the people who run our political parties — particularly the most prominent and charismatic figures — have the ability to reshape what voters in those parties think”. 

Friday, August 28, 2020

The Desperate Need for High Quality Political Leadership

Whatever happens in the election, America must overhaul its government. To do so, it should look to two giants of the 19th century.

Related:
The debate should be about the quality – not the size – of government

Pandemic's Impact on College Towns

The College Tuition Debate

Profile of Economist Heather Boushey

Heather Boushey is at the forefront of a generation of economists rethinking their discipline — just as the government deploys trillions to address a once-in-a-century emergency
“For decades, economists have often sought to frame their discipline as being at an arm’s length from politics. But Dr. Boushey and her peers, many of them Generation X, have embraced the field’s social and political roots. Informed by mistakes made during the 2008 recession, members of this cohort — including academics like Emmanuel Saez and Raj Chetty, and Jason Furman on the policy side — have turned their attention to the structural consequences of deepening inequality. They have eagerly addressed topics that challenge neoclassical economic theory, such as climate change, generational wealth and opportunity disparities”. 

Thursday, August 27, 2020

Is Remote Instruction Really Worse than On-Campus Instruction?

Faculty members say they’re working harder than ever to meet students’ needs through remote instruction, even if critics of the model don’t know it.

Some Colleges Planned Early for an Online Fall. Here’s What They Learned.
https://www.chronicle.com/article/some-colleges-planned-early-for-an-online-fall-heres-what-they-learned

College Is Everywhere Now
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/08/28/style/college-collab-houses-coronavirus.html
Yale students in Barbados. Michigan students in Brooklyn. Berkeley students in Las Vegas? Off-campus housing is way off-campus now. 

US Labor Market - Still Weak

Unemployment Claims Are ‘Stubbornly High’ as Layoffs Persist

Pro-Market versus Pro-Business Policies and the Future of Capitalism

To make capitalism more attractive, policymakers must emphasize pro-market (not pro-business) policies

Crisis Leadership

Wealthy nations applaud their leaders’ covid-19 responses. The U.S. and U.K. are the exceptions

French Higher Education System

Rise of Work-From-Home Towns

The Rise of Work-From-Home Towns
https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2020-08-27/scenic-towns-enjoy-boom-as-work-from-home-becomes-pandemic-norm 

Related:
Affluence Killed New York, Not the Pandemic
https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2020/08/who-new-york/615715/
Kevin Baker notes:
“The more New York has allowed working people and small businesses to be driven out of the city, the more it has come to depend on the very wealthiest—people and firms with the wherewithal to move if they don’t get the subsidy or tax break they demand.
New York never got over its beggar’s mentality from the ’70s; even at peak affluence, it was still tossing huge, needless subsidies to corporations and developers in exchange for fanciful promises of job creation. The Hudson Yards development, for instance, cost New York $6 billion in taxpayer subsidies. Yet more than 90 percent of the office workers there were simply relocated from offices in Midtown Manhattan, just a few blocks away”. 

Fed's New Approach

New Economic Challenges and the Fed's Monetary Policy Review

Fed changes its approach to inflation, as leaders aim to navigate future crises and reach full employment
https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2020/08/27/powell-jackson-hole-inflation/

The Fed Is Taking a New Approach to Inflation

Fed Unanimously Approves Shift on Inflation Goal, Ushering in Longer Era of Low Rates

Fed Sets Stage for Longer Periods of Lower Interest Rates

Wednesday, August 26, 2020

California’s Got Problems

Why There is No Mathematical Theory of Everything

How Gödel’s Proof Works
His incompleteness theorems destroyed the search for a mathematical theory of everything. Nearly a century later, we’re still coming to grips with the consequences. 

US Monetary Policy – Tricky Choices Ahead for the Fed

Countering China

To Deal with China, Trump Should Learn German

College and School Reopenings

Universities sound alarm as coronavirus cases emerge just days into classes
https://www.washingtonpost.com/education/2020/08/25/college-coronavirus-cases/

Stop Campus Partying to Slow the Virus? Colleges Try but Often Fail

Colleges Worried About Covid-19 Cases Tell Students to Stop Partying

Covid in the Classroom? Shhh. Some Schools Are Keeping It Quiet.
Officials often cite privacy laws such as the federal Family Educational Rights and Privacy Act and the Health Insurance Portability and Accountability Act when arguing against disclosure. Yet neither law bars public schools from releasing information about cases as long as they do not provide personal details about those who are infected, the federal education and health departments have said — and in some situations, even that might be allowed.
“School notification is an effective method of informing parents and eligible students of an illness in the school,” the Education Department wrote in March.
Schools have often abused privacy laws to hide damaging information that could expose them to lawsuits or negative media coverage, said Mr. Calvert at the University of Florida. “In the name of protecting personal privacy, many of those districts are really sacrificing public health concerns,” he said”.

---
Brain Deficits, Nerve Pain Can Torment Covid Patients for Months
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-08-26/brain-deficits-nerve-pain-as-covid-torments-infected-for-months

Tuesday, August 25, 2020

Lessons in Investing: Market Timing

So You Think You Can Time the Market?
All it takes is a couple of lucky trades to end up with a false belief in one’s ability to jump in and out at the right times. 

Dealing with Uncertainty

Monday, August 24, 2020

Debate Surrounding Skilled Immigrants

Seinfeld on NYC

Jerry Seinfeld: So You Think New York Is ‘Dead’ (It’s not.)

Will the Political Center Return to Power?

Can Joe Biden’s Center Hold?
Related:
For Conservatives to Have Any Hope, Trump Has to Lose

After Trump, a Different GOP: Win or lose, the party won’t return to the old orthodoxy. Populist ideas have put down deep roots.

Biden understands what Twitter doesn’t: Democrats need a big tent

Why Democrats Still Have to Appeal to the Center, but Republicans Don’t

Whatever Happened to the GOP of Lincoln, Reagan and George H.W. Bush?

Fox News has always been partisan. But has it become propaganda?
https://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2019/03/11/the-making-of-the-fox-news-white-house 

Related:

The Big Short 2.0

‘The Big Short 2.0’: How Hedge Funds Profited Off the Pain of Malls

The Labor Market Squeeze is Coming

‘Not just a low-wage recession’: White-collar workers feel coronavirus squeeze

In the Covid-19 Recession, Europe Props Up Jobs While the U.S. Props Up Workers

Europe Tried to Limit Mass Layoffs, but the Cuts Are Coming Anyway
Related:

This Plan Pays to Avoid Layoffs. Why Don’t More Employers Use It?

Asian Financial Centers

International Business Case Study

Should the US entertainment industry compromise on its principles (assuming it actually had some principles to begin with) in order to please the Chinese Communist Party leaders and maintain access to the lucrative mainland market?

China is turning American movies into propaganda. Enough is enough.

Collapse of Venezuela's Oil Industry



Challenges Facing Small Retailers

The Rise in US Federal Government Debt

Coronavirus Lifts Government Debt to WWII Levels—Cutting It Won’t Be Easy

The Real Danger With $26.5 Trillion of U.S. Debt
For America’s creditors, the cost of servicing our borrowings took a back seat to questions about how our government operated.

We Crossed the Line Debt Hawks Warned Us About for Decades

Exploding public debt: A cause for concern?
https://thehill.com/opinion/finance/501486-exploding-public-debt-a-cause-for-concern 

Sunday, August 23, 2020

Will the Covid-19 Pandemic Exacerbate Economic Inequality?

Should Western Universities Reconsider Their China Ties?

It’s Time for Western Universities to Cut Their Ties to China

How strained US-China relations are playing out in American universities

China’s influence on campus chills free speech in Australia, New Zealand

Chinese Students in the US – The New Red Scare



The Himalayas

The secret side of the world's greatest mountain range – and how to see it for yourself

Economics of Higher Education

The Corner That State Universities Have Backed Themselves Into
For schools to do the right thing would be financial suicide.

College Admissions Are About to Get Even More Unfair
Smith notes:
“College tuition has increased over the years, but not nearly as much as people think. For example, at private nonprofit institutions, which includes elite schools, net tuition — the price students actually pay — is about the same as it was at the turn of the century.
Instead of raising prices overall, these universities have raised the price they charge wealthy students, while using need-based financial aid to hold down the price paid by students of modest means.
But this gives universities an obvious incentive to admit more students from rich families. Under the need-based financial-aid system, a rich student is a profit center while a poor student represents a financial loss”.

Covid-19 will be painful for universities, but also bring change

The COVID-19 shock may fundamentally alter the economics of private colleges

Is There a Tech Bubble?

Friday, August 21, 2020

Goldman Sachs Gets its Own Font

Goldman Sachs Has Money. It Has Power. And Now It Has a Font

Europe's Mini Second Wave

Stock Market Investing: Small-Caps versus Mega-Caps

Role of Government in Society - The Quality versus Size Debate

The debate should be about the quality – not the size – of government

Highly recommended:
What the Pandemic Revealed
The Dead End of Small Government
Free Markets and Limited Government Reconceived

The Stock Market and the Economy

Rising stock market would be in the red without a handful of familiar names
https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2020/08/19/tech-stocks-markets/

Stocks Are Soaring. So Is Misery

‘This Market Is Nuts’: S&P 500 Hits Record, Defying Economic Devastation
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/08/18/business/stock-market-record.html

This Market Is a Tech Market. If Bond Yields Rise, Watch Out.

What explains the widening gap between Wall Street and Main Street?

Thursday, August 20, 2020

The Collapse of the Liberal World Order

Remember the ’90s, Don’t Long for a Return
“… the West is being forced through another major crisis that may be bigger in scale and scope than September 11, the wars that followed, the Arab Spring, EU expansion, and the financial crisis. Panetta told me that in the two decades following the 9/11 attacks, successive U.S. administrations—Republican and Democrat—took their eye off the ball, turned inward, and left a vacuum of leadership in the world that adversaries exploited. Instead of developing a strategy for the world that was emerging, the U.S. became trapped in rolling crisis management, reacting and withdrawing and, ultimately, failing to hold rival powers to American lines in the sand. The world today is the consequence. “We paid a price for that,” he said”. 

Flattening of the Phillips Curve

Relative Bargaining Power and the Stimulus Debate

Here's Why Democrats Have an Edge Over Republicans in Stimulus Negotiations

Factory Farms and the Next Pandemic



Tuesday, August 18, 2020

Coronavirus Update

The Pursuit of Scientifically-Oriented Research

My favorite modern day physicist, Lisa Randall, notes:
“The paradox scientists have to contend with is that while aiming for permanence, we often investigate ideas that experimental data or better understanding will force us to modify or discard. The sound core of knowledge that has been tested and relied on is always surrounded by an amorphous boundary of uncertainties that are the domain of current research. The ideas and suggestions that excite us today will soon be forgotten if they are invalidated by more persuasive or comprehensive experimental work tomorrow”.

More insights from Lisa Randall:
“The notion of effective theory is a valuable concept when we ask how scientific theories advance and what we mean when we say something is right or wrong. Newton’s Laws work extremely well. They suffice to send a satellite to the far reaches of the solar system and to construct a bridge that won’t collapse.
Yet we know that quantum mechanics and relativity underlie Newton’s descriptions. Newton’s Laws are approximations that suffice in the effective theory for objects with low enough speeds or of sufficiently large size. Only when we need to know more about the object’s fundamental nature do we have to change our description.
This notion of effective theory extends beyond the realm of science. It is how we approach the world in all its aspects. We can’t possibly keep track of all information simultaneously. We use a map that has the scale we need. It’s pointless to know all the small streets around you when you’re barreling down a highway.
The effective-theory idea is practical and valuable, but we should also be wary: It can sometimes make us miss things in the world—and in science. Effective theory concerns what is most obvious to us, but beyond that might lie the more fundamental truth. Recognizing the effective theory’s limitations to get outside our comfort zone is what we strive to do—and what ultimately leads to progress.”.