Attention Economy


Wednesday, December 19, 2012

The Renminbi Marches On ...


Mike Rees (writing in the FT) notes the following about Renminbi’s rapid rise:


“The exponential growth of the renminbi as a trading currency – and of the offshore renminbi market – continues to stun observers. Three years in, despite global headwinds, and the scarcity of arbitrage opportunities as onshore and offshore rates have converged, renminbi redenomination shows no sign of faltering. Trade in renminbi in 2012 is on track for $425bn, up almost 30 per cent on 2011.”

Wednesday, December 12, 2012

Technology, Jobs, and Economic Growth – The Debate Continues


Technology, Jobs, and Economic Growth – The Debate Continues

Princeton economist Paul Krugman on the factors driving rising inequality:
“… One is that technology has taken a turn that places labor at a disadvantage; the other is that we’re looking at the effects of a sharp increase in monopoly power. Think of these two stories as emphasizing robots on one side, robber barons on the other.”

Harvard economist Ken Rogoff makes a good point:
There are certainly those who believe that the wellsprings of science are running dry, and that, when one looks closely, the latest gadgets and ideas driving global commerce are essentially derivative. But the vast majority of my scientist colleagues at top universities seem awfully excited about their projects in nanotechnology, neuroscience, and energy, among other cutting-edge fields. They think they are changing the world at a pace as rapid as we have ever seen. Frankly, when I think of stagnating innovation as an economist, I worry about how overweening monopolies stifle ideas, and how recent changes extending the validity of patents have exacerbated this problem.”

Monday, December 10, 2012

Monday, December 3, 2012

Global Economic Conditions – An Update


Global Economic Conditions – An Update

Global Manufacturing Survey data suggests that the recent slowdown in the global economy was more likely a result of key regions hitting a soft patch, and, not an indication of a worldwide recession.

An interesting note from Neil Irwin of Washington Post:
“… This is a run-of-the-mill recession in Europe, not an all-out economic collapse. The weakness in China and other emerging Asian economies is more a soft patch than an end to two decades of rip-roaring growth. If those trends hold up, then exports to the rest of the world can be a strength for the United States in 2013, rather than a drag.”