Attention Economy


Friday, February 13, 2015

An Example of Game Theory – Creditor-Debtor Negotiation in the Eurozone

An interesting piece in the NYTIMES:
The Greek strategy is summed up in the article as follows:
“There may be a method to Mr. Varoufakis’s madness. He calls himself an “erratic Marxist,” and is putting his extensive study of game theory to the test in the real world. With a “nothing-to-lose” approach, he is wagering that Germany and the rest of Europe will eventually make concessions, rather than risk a Greek departure from the euro and a new wave of contagion. As Mr. Varoufakis, a trained economist, has written, “it may be rational to act irrationally.””

Meanwhile, the creditors (troika – European Commission/IMF/ECB; Germany also matters enormously) worry about setting a bad precedent:
“… the main guardians of the euro, these officials are loath to bend the rules for Greece, lest a troubling precedent is set for other nations that might want to ditch their own austerity programs. Still, they fear a messy Greek departure from the euro and the effect it would have on the common currency zone.”

Game of Chicken